Servette vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
5º
2º
50
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LAC
0 - 2
SER
4%
10%
86%
|
75 | 35 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SER
3 - 2
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FCL
0 - 2
SER
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SER
3 - 1
GCZ
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FCL
1 - 2
YOB
25%
23%
53%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FCL
6 - 0
FCA
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCL
13%
20%
67%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
0 - 6
FCL
25%
25%
51%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FCL
0 - 2
SER
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |