Servette vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
YOB
3 - 4
SER
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
SER
2 - 2
LAU
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1998 |
SER
1 - 2
BEE
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1998 |
GCZ
3 - 0
SER
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
SER
1 - 0
STG
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1998 |
LUG
0 - 0
ZUR
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
FCA
2 - 0
LUG
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
LUG
2 - 2
SIO
29%
27%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
FCL
1 - 2
LUG
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
YOB
0 - 1
LUG
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |