Servette vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
SIO
3 - 1
SER
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
STG
1 - 0
SER
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
SER
1 - 2
FCL
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 1
SER
53%
23%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1996 |
SER
2 - 0
YOB
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAS
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
LAU
4 - 0
LUG
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
LUG
2 - 2
ZUR
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1996 |
FCA
4 - 0
LUG
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 1996 |
LUG
2 - 1
FCL
38%
27%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |