Servette vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
NEX
2 - 0
SER
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
SER
1 - 1
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
LAU
1 - 0
SER
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
SER
0 - 0
WOH
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
SER
2 - 0
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
LOC
1 - 1
WIL
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
DEL
1 - 1
LOC
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
LOC
1 - 2
FCV
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
YFJ
1 - 2
LOC
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
LOC
0 - 2
BEL
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |