Champions League 1/16
Global 4-3
Servette vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.1%
Win probability
4.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.2%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.5%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.1%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.7%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.4%
2.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
YOB
3 - 0
SER
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
LIN
2 - 2
SER
4%
16%
81%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1985 |
SER
4 - 1
VEV
80%
14%
7%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
SIO
2 - 1
SER
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
SER
4 - 1
STG
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
LIN
2 - 2
SER
4%
16%
81%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
LIN
3 - 3
PAN
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
PAN
2 - 1
LIN
73%
16%
11%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
SHR
1 - 1
LIN
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
LIN
0 - 0
SHR
57%
20%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |