Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 3-3
Servette vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
51.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
GCZ
1 - 3
SER
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SER
5 - 2
RAP
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
CER
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
STA
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
SER
4 - 0
NEX
77%
16%
8%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
GNK
2 - 0
BUR
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 1
GNK
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
GNK
3 - 3
ZUL
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
PAO
3 - 2
GNK
32%
23%
45%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
GNK
4 - 0
LEU
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |