Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 1-3
Servette vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1983 |
SER
1 - 2
BEL
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1983 |
FCW
1 - 1
SER
22%
22%
56%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
SHA
1 - 0
SER
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1983 |
BAS
3 - 2
SER
44%
23%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
SER
3 - 0
LAU
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
SHA
1 - 0
SER
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
SHA
4 - 2
NYK
92%
6%
2%
|
81 | 10 | 71 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
NYK
1 - 5
SHA
8%
16%
75%
|
81 | 10 | 71 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
EIN
3 - 0
SHA
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
SHA
1 - 0
EIN
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |