Servette vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
ZUR
1 - 1
SER
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
LAU
2 - 1
SER
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
SER
1 - 2
NEX
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 0
SER
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
SER
0 - 0
LUG
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
FCA
1 - 1
LAU
40%
29%
32%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
NEX
5 - 1
FCA
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1992 |
FCA
3 - 1
LUG
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 0
SER
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FCA
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |