Servette vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1989 |
YOB
3 - 0
SER
51%
23%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 5
SER
30%
26%
45%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
SER
2 - 3
STG
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
NEX
2 - 2
SER
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
SER
2 - 0
GCZ
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1989 |
FCA
2 - 1
SIO
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCA
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
FCA
1 - 1
GCZ
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCA
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
FCA
1 - 2
STG
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |