Servette vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
YVE
2 - 2
SER
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
LOC
1 - 0
SER
12%
20%
68%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
SER
1 - 1
NEX
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CHI
4 - 0
SER
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
SER
4 - 3
LAU
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
CON
1 - 0
WIL
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
DEL
0 - 2
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CON
3 - 2
FCV
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
YFJ
0 - 2
CON
40%
25%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
CON
0 - 0
BEL
47%
24%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |