Servette vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
ASN
2 - 2
SER
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
STG
2 - 1
SER
30%
23%
47%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
SER
2 - 2
NEX
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
SER
2 - 1
ASN
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
CSC
1 - 5
SER
28%
23%
50%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
BAS
4 - 0
CHI
83%
11%
5%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
CHI
1 - 1
GCZ
18%
25%
57%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
NEX
4 - 2
CHI
69%
19%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
CHI
0 - 2
CSC
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
YOB
2 - 0
CHI
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |