Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 2-3
Servette vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
65.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
CHL
2 - 0
SER
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SBC
1 - 7
SER
4%
13%
83%
|
84 | 36 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
SPB
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SER
0 - 6
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
0 - 0
SER
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 6
CHL
20%
23%
57%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
CHL
2 - 0
SER
73%
17%
10%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CHL
0 - 2
MAC
14%
19%
68%
|
94 | 100 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CHL
1 - 1
INT
26%
24%
51%
|
94 | 99 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
RMA
2 - 1
CHL
66%
20%
15%
|
94 | 99 | 5 | 0 |