Servette vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2004 |
SER
2 - 2
GCZ
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2004 |
THU
3 - 0
SER
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
STG
2 - 0
SER
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SER
2 - 3
ZUR
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
THU
2 - 1
SER
38%
24%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 1
NEX
75%
16%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
BAS
6 - 0
FCA
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
BAS
2 - 1
YOB
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
GCZ
0 - 2
BAS
48%
23%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
NEX
3 - 1
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |