Servette vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
SER
1 - 0
SIO
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
ZUR
0 - 0
SER
53%
21%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1978 |
SER
2 - 1
CSC
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
GCZ
0 - 1
SER
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
SIO
0 - 2
SER
35%
23%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 1
ZUR
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
LAU
1 - 1
BAS
53%
21%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
BAS
2 - 5
GCZ
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1978 |
LAU
0 - 0
BAS
51%
21%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
STG
1 - 2
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |