Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 9-1
Servette vs Avenir Beggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
95%
Win probability
4.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.7%
+10
0.7%
9-0
1.4%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.8%
8-0
2.9%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.7%
7-0
5.1%
8-1
1.5%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.7%
6-0
7.8%
7-1
2.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
10.8%
5-0
10.3%
6-1
4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
15%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
3.2%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
1.5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
3.2%
1.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
0.9%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
SER
3 - 0
STG
70%
17%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
VEV
3 - 1
SER
14%
20%
66%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1983 |
SER
2 - 0
FCA
82%
12%
7%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1983 |
YOB
2 - 1
SER
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1983 |
SER
5 - 3
ZUR
57%
23%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Avenir Beggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
RAP
8 - 0
AVE
91%
6%
3%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
AVE
0 - 5
RAP
16%
19%
65%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 3
FCP
19%
20%
61%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
FCP
7 - 0
AVE
86%
9%
4%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
CRV
5 - 1
AVE
88%
8%
4%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |