Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 6-1
Servette vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.5%
Win probability
3.95
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.9%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.3%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.9%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.2%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.3%
3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
ZUR
1 - 1
SER
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
SER
5 - 0
WIN
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
APO
0 - 3
SER
5%
18%
77%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1984 |
FCW
0 - 0
SER
20%
21%
59%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1984 |
SER
4 - 0
SIO
64%
20%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
APO
0 - 3
SER
5%
18%
77%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
ARG
4 - 0
APO
77%
13%
10%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
APO
1 - 1
ARG
37%
24%
39%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
APO
2 - 1
BFC
7%
17%
76%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
BFC
3 - 0
APO
97%
3%
1%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | 0 |