Servette vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1989 |
STG
1 - 1
SER
42%
25%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1989 |
SER
1 - 2
NEX
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
GCZ
1 - 1
SER
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1989 |
SER
0 - 0
FCW
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1989 |
LAU
2 - 3
SER
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 2
SIO
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1989 |
FCA
1 - 2
BEL
65%
19%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 1
YOB
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 1989 |
FCL
2 - 2
BEL
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 2
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |