Servette vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
SER
4 - 1
VEV
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
SIO
3 - 2
SER
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
SER
3 - 1
FCW
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
ZUR
4 - 0
SER
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
SER
2 - 1
FCL
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
BEL
2 - 2
LOC
65%
19%
17%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
FCW
1 - 2
BEL
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
BEL
0 - 3
NEX
13%
23%
64%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
SIO
5 - 2
BEL
77%
14%
9%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
BEL
2 - 0
STG
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | +2 |