Servette vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1983 |
FCW
1 - 1
SER
22%
22%
56%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
SHA
1 - 0
SER
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1983 |
BAS
3 - 2
SER
44%
23%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
SER
3 - 0
LAU
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1983 |
AVE
1 - 5
SER
1%
10%
89%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1983 |
BEL
0 - 1
VEV
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1983 |
BEL
2 - 2
ZUR
18%
27%
55%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
NEX
8 - 0
BEL
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
BEL
0 - 3
YOB
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
STG
2 - 0
BEL
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |