Servette vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
NEX
1 - 1
SER
37%
28%
36%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1980 |
SER
3 - 0
SIO
73%
17%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 2
SER
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
SER
4 - 2
CHI
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
STG
1 - 1
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
BEL
0 - 0
SIO
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
BAS
4 - 0
BEL
89%
8%
3%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1980 |
BEL
2 - 0
CHI
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
STG
2 - 2
BEL
75%
16%
10%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
BEL
4 - 1
ZUR
23%
28%
49%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | +2 |