Servette II vs Martigny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
6º
1º
26
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
POR
0 - 3
SER
9%
17%
74%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SER
5 - 0
ECH
77%
14%
9%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
MEY
1 - 3
SER
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VEV
1 - 5
SER
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NAT
1 - 3
SER
15%
20%
64%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Martigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAT
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MEY
2 - 1
MAR
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
FCC
60%
19%
21%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SEC
0 - 3
MAR
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
FCM
1 - 0
MAR
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |