Serverense vs Santa Catalina Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
51%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serverense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
SER
68%
19%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SER
1 - 2
CDS
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MLL
5 - 0
SER
84%
12%
5%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SER
1 - 1
SRF
28%
24%
49%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CFP
1 - 0
SER
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Catalina Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
STA
0 - 1
CDS
57%
23%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SRF
1 - 1
STA
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
STA
4 - 0
FER
57%
23%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BNS
2 - 1
STA
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
STA
1 - 2
PBL
22%
24%
54%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |