Serverense vs Murense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
39.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serverense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CFP
2 - 0
SER
70%
19%
11%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SER
1 - 2
SRF
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
UDR
0 - 1
SER
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SER
0 - 2
JOR
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SLL
4 - 3
SER
58%
21%
21%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 0
CLL
29%
25%
47%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
MUR
47%
24%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 0
CON
20%
26%
53%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +3 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
INT
2 - 1
MUR
51%
22%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAM
32%
26%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |