Serverense vs Fraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serverense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1988 |
GIR
1 - 0
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
MIR
2 - 1
SER
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 1988 |
SER
0 - 0
FCA
30%
27%
44%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 1988 |
OSA
3 - 0
SER
70%
19%
11%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 1988 |
SER
1 - 4
ZAR
21%
30%
49%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1988 |
PBL
1 - 2
FRA
67%
22%
12%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1988 |
FRA
0 - 2
FCA
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
OSA
0 - 1
FRA
57%
25%
17%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1988 |
FRA
0 - 5
ZAR
30%
29%
41%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1988 |
TER
1 - 0
FRA
59%
25%
16%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |