Serverense vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serverense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
PET
0 - 0
SER
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SER
3 - 4
BNS
38%
26%
37%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
LLO
0 - 1
SER
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SER
0 - 3
PBL
16%
22%
62%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MER
2 - 0
SER
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
FER
3 - 1
BNS
37%
26%
37%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
PBL
4 - 1
FER
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
FER
0 - 3
CLL
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
FLN
0 - 1
FER
54%
24%
22%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FER
0 - 4
IBI
18%
19%
62%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |