Sertãozinho vs União São João analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
VOT
0 - 1
SER
48%
23%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
BAT
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 2
SER
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
NOV
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SER
4 - 1
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | +2 |
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUA
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
VOT
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FRA
3 - 2
UNI
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 1
RIO
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 0
UNI
81%
14%
5%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | -1 |