Sertãozinho vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
INT
1 - 0
SER
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SER
4 - 0
GRÊ
76%
17%
7%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
SER
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
PRI
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 3
SER
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 2
NAC
28%
28%
44%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
FLA
35%
27%
39%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 0
SAO
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 2
SAO
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
CAT
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |