Sertãozinho vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
COT
1 - 1
SER
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
NOR
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SER
0 - 2
TUP
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
SER
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
VOT
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 2
AME
46%
26%
29%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
INT
2 - 1
SAO
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
IND
29%
26%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
52%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 2
MAT
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |