Sertãozinho vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SER
3 - 2
SAO
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
COT
1 - 1
SER
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
NOR
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SER
0 - 2
TUP
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
SER
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
FRA
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
SJS
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
5 - 2
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
RIO
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
52%
24%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |