Sertãozinho vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
USA
0 - 2
SER
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SER
0 - 1
CAT
44%
26%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
SER
1 - 0
LEM
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FRA
1 - 1
SER
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
SER
83%
13%
3%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
ECN
0 - 2
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
RIO
1 - 1
RIO
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
RIO
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RIO
3 - 1
BER
26%
26%
48%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 0
SAO
18%
25%
58%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |