Sertãozinho vs Primavera SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 0
SER
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
SER
0 - 0
ITA
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
JUV
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
SJS
0 - 0
SER
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 3
SER
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PRI
3 - 1
COT
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 1
PRI
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 5
PRI
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 0
ATI
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |