Sertãozinho vs Osvaldo Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TAB
1 - 2
SER
29%
24%
48%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SER
0 - 5
FER
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 1
SER
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SER
0 - 0
COM
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
AME
3 - 3
SER
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Osvaldo Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
OSV
0 - 3
INT
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
OSV
0 - 2
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
OSV
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
OSV
2 - 2
ECN
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 0
OSV
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |