Sertãozinho vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 3
SER
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 1
SER
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
RIO
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ATI
2 - 1
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
MON
1 - 1
JUV
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 1
MON
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
MON
2 - 0
RIO
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MON
0 - 2
AUD
30%
25%
44%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
AUD
2 - 2
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |