Sertãozinho vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
SER
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 1
SER
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
FLA
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SER
3 - 1
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
SER
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 1
FLA
45%
24%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 0
MAT
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 1
NAC
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
MAT
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
SER
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |