Sertãozinho vs CA Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
SJS
0 - 0
SER
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 3
SER
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
SER
3 - 2
SAN
57%
23%
19%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VOT
4 - 1
SER
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SER
0 - 2
ATI
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CA Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 0
COT
64%
21%
14%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 0
JUV
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 0
VOT
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ATI
1 - 0
JUV
31%
24%
44%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TAU
2 - 3
JUV
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |