Sertãozinho vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
JUV
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
SJS
0 - 0
SER
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 3
SER
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
SER
3 - 2
SAN
57%
23%
19%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VOT
4 - 1
SER
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 0
ATI
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
INT
2 - 1
ITA
59%
25%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
TAU
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
ITA
58%
24%
18%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 2
COT
56%
23%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |