Sertãozinho vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
SER
3 - 2
INT
40%
26%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
INT
1 - 1
SER
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
SER
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SEP
3 - 3
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
ITA
52%
24%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 0
SAO
37%
24%
40%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
SER
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
INT
0 - 0
ITA
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FRA
3 - 1
ITA
41%
27%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |