Sertãozinho vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BAT
0 - 0
SER
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SER
2 - 1
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SER
4 - 2
BEB
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
INT
3 - 1
SER
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
SER
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
IND
3 - 0
ECN
48%
24%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
MAR
28%
23%
49%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TAB
1 - 0
IND
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
BEB
0 - 0
IND
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
IND
3 - 1
BAT
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |