Sertãozinho vs Flamengo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SER
3 - 1
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
SER
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
SAO
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
INT
1 - 0
SER
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SER
4 - 0
GRÊ
76%
17%
7%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
MAT
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 0
FLA
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
GRE
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
FLA
35%
27%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |