Sertãozinho vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
43.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FER
3 - 0
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
XVD
2 - 1
SER
72%
18%
11%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
SER
0 - 3
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
INT
0 - 0
SER
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
IND
43%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
COM
3 - 1
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
INT
2 - 0
COM
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
COM
31%
26%
44%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
XVD
37%
27%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |