Sertãozinho vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
32%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
AME
3 - 3
SER
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
SER
1 - 0
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SER
2 - 0
UNI
30%
25%
46%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
5 - 2
SER
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
COM
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
FER
37%
25%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 1
COM
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
CAT
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |