Sertãozinho vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
ITU
1 - 0
SER
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
SER
2 - 3
SAN
13%
20%
67%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
PPE
2 - 3
SER
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
COR
4 - 0
SER
84%
12%
4%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
SER
1 - 1
RIO
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
BOT
53%
22%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
6 - 3
BRA
77%
15%
7%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
PAU
2 - 2
BRA
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 3
PAL
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
4 - 3
RIO
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |