Sertãozinho vs Barretos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
COT
0 - 3
SER
30%
25%
46%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SER
3 - 1
TAU
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
AME
0 - 0
SER
37%
25%
37%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
SJS
1 - 2
SER
55%
23%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
INT
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
POR
50%
25%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
TAB
3 - 1
BAR
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
ATI
41%
25%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ATI
4 - 0
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |