Sertãozinho vs Barretos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
SER
44%
24%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
FRA
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
RIO
17%
20%
63%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
SER
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
SER
2 - 0
OSV
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
BEB
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 2
BAR
86%
11%
3%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAR
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 3
IND
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
BAR
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |