Sertãozinho vs Atibaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
GRÊ
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 0
SER
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
TAU
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
INT
35%
27%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 2
SER
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atibaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ATI
3 - 1
TUP
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ATI
2 - 0
FRA
53%
23%
25%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
ATI
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
ATI
0 - 2
NAC
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
COT
2 - 3
ATI
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |