Sertãozinho vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 2
SER
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
TAU
3 - 2
SER
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SER
0 - 1
IND
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
SER
3 - 1
SJS
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AME
1 - 2
SAO
32%
24%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
4 - 2
AME
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 0
AME
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
AME
3 - 0
FRA
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AME
1 - 2
BAT
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |