Sertãozinho vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
VOT
3 - 0
SER
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SER
0 - 0
SAO
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 0
SER
21%
23%
57%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
XVD
0 - 0
SER
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
SER
2 - 2
AUD
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
POR
1 - 0
RIO
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AUD
0 - 0
POR
53%
24%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
POR
3 - 2
ATI
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 0
POR
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 1
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |