Sertanense vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
7º
17
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GOU
0 - 1
SER
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SER
0 - 0
FCA
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SER
4 - 3
MOR
40%
27%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
25%
27%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
COI
2 - 0
SER
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 1
UFT
23%
20%
57%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UFT
0 - 1
MOR
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
UFT
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 3
LUS
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |