Sertanense vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
ALC
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 2
SER
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MIN
1 - 3
SER
14%
20%
66%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ADM
2 - 2
SER
20%
23%
58%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
BEN
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
UNM
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 1
PAÇ
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 0
ARO
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
UNM
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 0
VIT
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |