Sertanense vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SER
0 - 0
BEN
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ORI
2 - 1
SER
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
PIN
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
FER
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
PAM
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 2
ORI
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
PIN
1 - 2
UDL
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 1
FER
70%
18%
11%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LOU
0 - 2
UDL
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
UDL
3 - 3
MAF
47%
26%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |